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The security situation in Afghanistan has an important impact on Central Asia. From 2010 to the first half of 2011 will be a crucial period that determines the development of Afghanistan's security situation, but it now appears that Afghanistan's security situation is unlikely to change significantly in 2010. Although there are some new ideas in Obama's Afghanistan strategy, there are fatal failures. If it is not perfect, it will have a profoundly negative impact on the security situation in Afghanistan. The extreme effects of Afghanistan and terrorism on Central Asia in the future will be mainly reflected in two aspects: extremes, the movement of terrorist forces and drug smuggling.